Banks continued to scale back their exposure to Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe (CESEE) countries by 0.3 per cent of GDP in the first quarter of 2014, roughly by the same amount as in Q4 2013.
The monitor reports that the scale of funding continued to vary across countries in Q1 2014.
Foreign portfolio flows to CESEE, excluding Russia and Turkey, remained strong in the first quarter of 2014 with an increase in international bonds issued by CESEE countries.
Overall credit growth remained low outside Turkey and CIS countries, particularly for non-financial corporates credit, and domestic deposits continued to grow everywhere except Hungary and Slovenia.
Recent surveys suggest a weak outlook for credit growth. The Institute of International Finance’s Bank Lending Conditions Survey for Q1 2014 shows a tightening in lending conditions in the region with the overall index falling to 46.7.
The latest CESEE Deleveraging and Credit Monitor for Q1 2014 was prepared by the staff of international financial institutions taking part in the Vienna Initiative’s Steering Committee.
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
Press Release:"Alpha Services and Holdings announces a strategic partnership with UniCredit in RomaniaMerger of Alpha Bank Romania and UniCredit Bank Romania and creation of third largest bank in Romania by... detalii
NBR Board decisions on monetary policyIn its meeting of 4 April 2023, the Board of the National Bank of Romania decided:• to keep the monetary policy rate at 7.00 percent per annum;• to leave unchanged the lending (Lombard) facility rate at 8.00 percent per annum and the deposit facility rate at 6.00 percent per annum;• to keep the existing levels of minimum reserve requirement ratios on both leu- and foreign currency-denominated liabilities of credit institutions.The annual inflation rate went down to 15.52 percent in February 2023, from 16.37 percent in December 2022, relatively in line with forecasts. The decrease was mainly driven by the sizeable drop in the dynamics of fuel and electricity prices, under the impact of significant base effects and the change made to the energy price capping and compensation scheme starting 1... detalii
ING press release:ING posts FY2022 net result of €3,674 million,proposed final 2022 dividend of €0.389 per share 4Q2022 profit before tax of €1,711 million; CET1 ratio remains strong at 14.5%•Profit before tax up 29% on 4Q2021 and 24% on 3Q2022, mainly driven by higher income•Higher net interest income, as a further increase in liability margins helped offset TLTRO impact this quarter•Risk costs declined to 17 bps of average customer lending Full-year 2022 net result of €3,674 million, supported by growing customer base and increase in lending and deposits•On a full-year basis, our primary customer base grew by 585,000•Net core lending growth of €18 billion and net core deposits growth of €25 billion in 2022•Net result of €3,674 million in a challenging year; proposed final 2022 dividend of €0.389 per share CEO statement“Looking back, 2022 was... detalii