UniCredit today has reached an agreement with Kruk Group (“Kruk”) in relation to the disposal on non-recourse basis (pro-soluto) of a non performing credit portfolio, mainly private individuals claims and residually corporate claims towards small/medium entities, originated by different banks time by time incorporated into UniCredit Group.
The portfolio consists entirely of Italian loans with a gross book value of about 940
million Euro.
The sale is part of UniCredit’s on-going activities to sell non-core assets and strengthen its credit profile.
The impact will be reflected in Q4 2016 financial reports.
Source: UniCredit statement
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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