The EBRD is considering providing a loan of up to €15.51 million to S.C. Aquatim S.A. (the “Company”) to co-finance the rehabilitation of water and wastewater infrastructure in Timis county, said the bank in a press release. rnrnThe financing is a sub-project under the Bank’s €200 million Framework for Romania EU Cohesion Fund Co-Financing for regionalised water companies (the “Framework”).rnrnThe EBRD loan is part of a €118.9 regional investment programme that will include significant grant funding from the European Union, the government of Romania and the local governments under Romania’s Cohesion Fund Programme.rnrnThe investment will enable the Company to extend and rehabilitate the water and wastewater infrastructure in nine smaller towns and 34 communes in line with EU directives. As a result, about 460,000 people (approximately 70 per cent of the total population of Timis County) will benefit from improved water and wastewater services.rnrnTransition ImpactrnrnThe sub-project will support environmental improvements as well as the continued regionalisation of water and waste water services in Timis County, which will result in efficiency gains as well as the transfer of commercial and managerial skills to less-developed localities in the county. The Company will participate in a benchmarking programme alongside other borrowers under the Framework.rnThe ClientrnrnS.C. Aquatim S.A. has been a Bank client since 1995 under the Municipal Utilities Development Programme I (“MUDP”) and has already undergone significant reforms since then. The Company reorganised in 2007 into a regional water company, and will now expand its services to approximately 70 per cent of Timis County, including the City of Timisoara.
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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