Banks and financial non-banking institutions in Romania which fail to adopt and comply with measures against money laundering will face fines of 10,000 to 50,000 lei, according to a new set of rules elaborated by the country’s central bank.rnrnBesides this sanction, financial institutions’ goods used for felonies can be seized and the harsh measures go as far as suspending the institution’s authorization or even closing down the respective unit. rnrnThe central bank’s document stipulates that lenders have to know clients well and take into account any risks that could appear. This is the consequence of a recent law endorsed by the government, which fights money laundering in line with international directives of the Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering.rnrnThe country’s securities watchdog (CNVM) prepared on June 5 regulations which require brokers to get acquainted well with the clients they work with. rnrnThe central bank said in the new set of rules that financial institutions will establish which clients bear a higher risk potential analyzing risk indicators which take into account the volume of assets, the type of solicited services, economic circumstances or the client’s native country. rnrnMoreover, credit institutions which provide complex banking services called private banking are required to be more vigilant regarding their clients.rnrnLenders and non-banking institutions, which should apply these new measures in maximum six months after they are endorsed, have to provide the central bank with reports on clients and their operations, the new regulations say. Changes to the set of rules are admitted until June 23.rn
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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