Due to the sharp devaluation and ongoing high volatility of the Russian Ruble, as well as the revised growth expectations for Russia, a review of the mid-term planning for the Russian unit of Raiffeisen Bank International (RBI) has become necessary, said the bank in a statement.
The changed economic environment could lead to a reduction in the future results of the Russian unit and potentially to a review of the
goodwill valuation.
The goodwill arose through the acquisition of Impexbank in 2006 and would, subject to adjustment, amount to EUR 148 million as of 31 December 2014.
An adjustment of the goodwill valuation would not affect the regulatory capital ratios.
While the audit of the Russian unit for the financial year 2014 is not yet final, the profit after tax for the Russian segment will be significantly above EUR 300 million.
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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