Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RBI) and Alior Bank S.A. have not reached an agreement with regard to the sale of the core banking operations of Raiffeisen Bank Polska S.A. and have ended the sales negotiations, said the bank in a statement.
The sale of Raiffeisen Bank Polska was part of the transformation program to strengthen regulatory capital ratios, which was announced in February 2015. It is aimed to achieve a CET1 ratio (fully loaded) of at least 12 per cent and a total capital ratio (fully loaded) of at least 16 per cent by the end of 2017.
As a result of the measures already implemented, the CET1 ratio (fully loaded) for RBI amounted to 12.3 per cent as at 30 September 2016 and for the Combined Bank comprising Raiffeisen Zentralbank Österreich AG (RZB) and RBI it amounted to 11.3 per cent pro forma.
Taking profit from the third quarter of 2016 as well as effects from the concluded sale of Raiffeisen-Leasing Polska into account, these ratios would be around 13.0 per cent and 11.9 per cent respectively (both unaudited).
Therefore, RBI expects to achieve its CET1 ratio (fully loaded) objective of at least 12 per cent without any extraordinary measures by the end of 2017.
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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