(BUCHAREST, ROMANIA) 40 years after publishing its first Report “Limits to Growth”, the CLUB OF ROME held the 2012 Annual Conference from October 1-2 in Bucharest, Romania, according to a press release. rnrnThe international think-tank, which is known for its systemic and inter-connected research focus, followed an invitation of the Romanian Association for the CLUB OF ROME and the National Bank of Romania, where it brought together some of the world’s thought leaders to debate the most pressing challenges of our time.rnrnIn 1972, the “Limits to Growth” commanded critical attention and sparked debate around the world about the future of humanity. It pointed out that exceeding our global capacities for resource use and emissions would place significant limits on global economic developmentrnin the 21st century. rnrnPeople might be consuming more – but enjoying it less.rnrnOn the occasion of the 40th Anniversary of this groundbreaking Report, which, at the same time as it was heavily criticized, contributed significantly to the development of the concept of sustainability, two of its original authors, the American scientist Dennis Meadows as well as the Norwegian scientist Jorgen Randers commented the development and progress over the last 40 years – and took a critical look into the future of our planet.rnrnMeadows stressed the inconvenient realization that humanity has entered the uncharted territory of “overshoot” and therefore “lost the option of a sustainable future”. rnrnJorgen Randers, who presented the findings of the newest Report to the Club of Rome “2052 – A Global Forecast for the next forty years”, raised the possibility that humankind might not survive on the planet if it continued on its path of over-consumption and short-termism. rnrnAs a consequence, the CLUB OF ROME Assembly debated and recognized the more and more urging necessity of resilience and adaptation measures for its agenda.rnrnIn working groups, the delegates and guests discussed the prospects of achieving a New Economy and enquired how radical and profound reform would have to be in order to achieve an economic system fit to meet the challenges of the future. rnrnIn his insightful lecture, the Governor of the National Bank of Romania, Mr. Mugur Isarescu called for reform in the International Banking System, while warning at the same time that “too radical reform approaches and over-regulation are rather counterproductive.”rnrnParticular attention was drawn to Mircea Malita’s presentation ”No Limits to Learning”, an earlier Report to the CLUB OF ROME, identifying the potential of education. rnrnMalița was a founding member of the Romanian Association for the CLUB OF ROME as well as honoraryrnmember of the international organization. ”He left a remarkable footprint for the CLUB OF ROME – especially, but not only, in Romania”, commented the newly elected Co-President, Prof. Ernst Ulrich von Weizsäcker.rnrnOther topics included the normative discussion about humanity’s current value system, new sustainable pathways for future energy supply and consumption as well as new ideas, systemic solutions and scenarios to achieve a better future for humankind in a harmoniousrnrelationship to nature.rnrnThe Annual Assembly of the CLUB OF ROME elected Prof. Ernst Ulrich von Weizsäcker (Germany), Co-Chair, International Panel on Sustainable Resource Use, as well as Dr. Anders Wijkman (Sweden), former member of the European Parliament and Vice-Chairman of the Tällberg Foundation as new Co-Presidents of the Club.rnrnThe Executive Board of the CLUB OF ROME welcomed two new Members: The Secretary General to the Mexican Chapter of the CLUB OF ROME, Ms. Susanna Chacón as well as Mr. Călin Georgescu, expert on sustainable development and strategic planning and Secretary General of the Romanian Association for the CLUB OF ROME were elected.rnrnIn addition, the General Assembly of the CLUB OF ROME officially announced the opening of its new National Association in Nepal, which has been opened this year.rnrnIan Johnson, Secretary General of the CLUB OF ROME, also added: “We are very happy about a growing number of strategic partnerships with various individuals and institutions, such as the National Bank of Romania, the prestigious Wuppertal Institute in Germany andrnartists such as the Italian filmmakers, producing a documentary about the `Limits to Growth`”.
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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