Based on preliminary third-quarter figures:rn Tier-1 ratio of ING Bank above target at 8.5% and core tier-1 of 6.5% at 30 Septemberrn Debt/equity ratio ING Group at 15%, in line with internal limitsrn AFR/EC ING Group at 113% despite decline at Insurance due to widening credit spreadsrn 3Q results impacted by market turmoil, with impairments and negative fair-value changes leading to a net loss of approximately EUR 500 million in the quarterrn rnING confirmed today that its capital position is in line with targets despite the turmoil in financial markets, which accelerated substantially in the third quarter. The tier-1 ratio of ING’s banking operations is above target at 8.5% as of 30 September 2008, with a core tier-1 of 6.5%. The debt/equity ratio of ING Group is in line with internal limits at 15%. The ratio of available financial resources over economic capital for ING Group declined to 113% from 128%, but is above the 100% level which is calibrated to a AA rating. rn rnThe operational performance of the business was solid given the challenging market environment, supported by the strength of ING’s franchise. Turmoil in financial markets and declining asset prices inevitably impacted ING’s results in the third quarter, with impairments on equity and bond investments, pressurised asset classes, losses attributable to financial counterparties and fair value changes on real estate totalling approximately EUR 1.6 billion before tax. Loan loss provisioning at the bank also increased to approximately EUR 400 million. That is expected to result in a net loss of approximately EUR 500 million in the third quarter, based on preliminary numbers. rn rnNegative revaluations on ING’s Alt-A, subprime and CDO investments of approximately EUR 1.5 billion after tax were reflected in shareholders’ equity in the third quarter, bringing total shareholders’ equity to EUR 23.9 billion at the end of September. rn rn”Current developments in financial markets are unprecedented,” said Michel Tilmant, CEO of ING. “ING’s business model is sound and our commercial performance is solid, however that does not mean that we are immune to the external environment. The crisis is far-reaching, and even the healthiest companies are feeling the negative effects. We continue to serve the interest of our customers by being a trusted partner in these turbulent times. Our long-term focus, disciplined business approach and prudent management of risk and capital will guide us going forward.”rn rnAs announced last week, ING has welcomed the steps taken by the Dutch government to restore confidence and stability to the Dutch financial system. ING will continue to take a prudent and disciplined approach in the interests of its shareholders. The merits of the government programme will be considered once the details are available. rn rnAll information is preliminary and final third-quarter results will be released on 12 November.rn
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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NBR Board decisions on monetary policyIn its meeting of 4 April 2023, the Board of the National Bank of Romania decided:• to keep the monetary policy rate at 7.00 percent per annum;• to leave unchanged the lending (Lombard) facility rate at 8.00 percent per annum and the deposit facility rate at 6.00 percent per annum;• to keep the existing levels of minimum reserve requirement ratios on both leu- and foreign currency-denominated liabilities of credit institutions.The annual inflation rate went down to 15.52 percent in February 2023, from 16.37 percent in December 2022, relatively in line with forecasts. The decrease was mainly driven by the sizeable drop in the dynamics of fuel and electricity prices, under the impact of significant base effects and the change made to the energy price capping and compensation scheme starting 1... detalii
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