During June 6 – July 15, customers who refinance their loans through Banca Comerciala Romana (BCR), member of Erste Group, via a personal loan with mortgage, benefit from a variable interest of 6.61 pc/year, made of the 6 month Euribor rate + a margin of 4.9 percent points a year, reads a press release. rnrnBCR charges no fee for the analysis of the file and pays all notary public fees and the evaluation cost of the mortgaged property. “BCR gives the possibility of refinancing loans at a fixed interest for the first 5 years, followed by a variable interest depending on Euribor 6M, for the customers that need a higher degree of safety with regard to the monthly installment,” said Stefan Coroianu, Retail Products Manager with BCR. rnrnFor the refinancing to be efficient, the cost saving must be bigger than related expenses (the early repayment fee of the old loan, the analysis fee of the new loan, the tax paid for registering the guarantee etc.)
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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