Bancpost blocked withdrawals from Millenium debit cards at ATMs last weekend, after the bank detected a large number of incidents of attempted fraud. rnrnBancpost did not specify how many cards were affected by this measure, only saying that their number was “significant”. The bank offers these cards as part of salary payment agreements concluded with companies, but there is no information available on the number of units issued. rnrnBancpost is one of the oldest players on the card market, and holds a significant share, however, no recent information on the size of this market is available. rnrnThis is the toughest measure taken by a local bank in the wake of attempted fraud. Bancpost clients were targeted by phishing at the beginning of last week, with cardholders being asked to reveal personal identification data (card number and PIN code). rnrn”Since an increase in the number of suspect transactions was noticed in the Easter Holidays, involving Millenium salary cards, Bancpost suspended cash withdrawal from ATMs for cards affected by fraud suspicions,” according to a press release issued by Bancpost on Thursday night. Bank representatives did not wish to provide further details, given that there is currently a police investigation underway.
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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