Erste Group and SIF Oltenia announce the preliminary agreement for the acquisition of a 6.29% stake in BCR, according to a statement.
– Erste Group to acquire the entire stake held by SIF Oltenia in Banca Comerciala Romana for EUR 140 million
– The execution of the transaction is planned for the second half of the year 2018
– Erste Group’s participation in BCR is set to increase to 99.88%
Erste Group Bank AG (Erste Group) announces it has reached a preliminary agreement with SIF Oltenia, minority shareholder in Banca Comerciala Romana (BCR), for the acquisition of its entire 6.29% stake or 1,023,534,303 shares in BCR.
Subject to the successful completion of Erste Group and SIF Oltenia’s corporate and regulatory approval processes (Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders in SIF Oltenia’s case, Supervisory Board and European Central Bank in Erste Group’s case), the purchase will be implemented in a single sale-purchase transaction.
The financial terms of the transaction are as follows:
Cash for 1,023,534,303 BCR shares at a price of EUR 0.136 per share (RON 0.64 per share, based on 22th June 2018 exchange rate).
Subsequent to the completion of the transaction, Erste Group’s participation in BCR is set to increase to 99.88%. The remaining 0.12% or 19,830,840 shares in BCR are held mainly by former and current BCR employees.
The transaction values BCR at a price/book multiple of 1.35x as of Q1 2018, in line with market valuations for Romanian listed banks. The total value of the transaction amounts to EUR 140 million (RON 654 million, exchange rate 1:4.67).
The transaction would have a negligible impact on Erste Group’s CET1 Capital. The execution of the transaction is planned for the second half of the year 2018.
Erste Group in Romania – acquisition timeline
In October 2006 Erste Group completed the acquisition of a 61.9% stake from AVAS (Romanian Authority for Assets Recovery), the EBRD and IFC. In November 2006 Erste Group acquired a further 7.2% in BCR through an offer made to BCR employees. In 2011 Erste Group acquired a 24% stake in BCR from four of the five SIFs (SIF Banat-Crisana, SIF Moldova, SIF Transilvania, SIF Muntenia – each 6.0%), in an offer which involved cash and share swap.
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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