Participants at a workshop of the Vienna 2 Initiative have called for decisive, timely and targeted action to address non-performing loans (NPLs) in central and south-eastern Europe (CESEE), while taking note of recent progress in some jurisdictions from NPL sales and write-offs, said EBRD in a statement.
The Vienna Initiative is a private-public sector platform which brings together key International Financial Institutions (IFIs), international organisations, public authorities and private banks to coordinate responses to pressing financial sector issues in emerging Europe.
This latest meeting was also attended by other market players, including potential investors and advisory services.
NPLs are a serious impediment to recovery from the financial crisis in certain CESEE countries.
The overhang of distressed assets distracts banks from focusing on developing new businesses. As the European Central Bank is about to conclude its asset quality review and stress tests for systemically important Eurozone banks, participants at the workshop, held in Vienna on 23 September, stressed the importance for action also outside the euro area.
The systemic importance of subsidiaries of Eurozone-based banks in the region should foster an effective coordination mechanism for addressing NPLs.
The meeting recommended that country-specific groups be set up in order to identify and address the key obstacles to NPL resolution and propose potential remedies. These groups will draw on the input of workout professionals of commercial banks, legal experts, local regulators and IFIs.
They will assess a range of resolution strategies, many of which may be mutually re-enforcing, including:
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IFIs re-confirmed their support to this work and are committed to facilitate early resolutions of NPLs according to their respective mandates, via technical assistance and participation in projects.
NPL action plans will be drawn up by each newly created country group in the selected countries. Reporting and monitoring on the proposed actions will be reviewed under the Vienna Initiative. The next major event will be the Vienna Initiative’s Full Forum in November.
[1] Erste Bank Group AG, Unicredit Bank Austria AG, Raiffeisen Bank International, Société Générale, Intesa San Paolo, and Alpha Bank AE.
The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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